Modelling Individual Games <-
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- A logistic model,
's probability of
winning.
-
, where
, for
on road, at home, or at a neutral site.
-
- Using a change of variable, we can use linear regression to fit
a curve to this data, i.e. find
and
.
- The best fit was
Graph of fit
- We will use this to provide the probability of teams winning
individual games.
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Previous: Gathered Data on Point
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